Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004111 0.004323 0.004539 0.004778 0.005034 0.005301 0.005601
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003693 0.004003 0.004334 0.004715 0.005143 0.005610 0.006162
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003507 0.003882 0.004294 0.004784 0.005352 0.005996 0.006785
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003329 0.003746 0.004214 0.004784 0.005464 0.006256 0.007259
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003165 0.003610 0.004119 0.004751 0.005522 0.006443 0.007642
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003000 0.003459 0.003994 0.004669 0.005509 0.006535 0.007903
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002863 0.003334 0.003891 0.004605 0.005509 0.006635 0.008170
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002775 0.003263 0.003847 0.004608 0.005589 0.006834 0.008572
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002619 0.003102 0.003685 0.004453 0.005457 0.006749 0.008586
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002553 0.003049 0.003654 0.004463 0.005535 0.006942 0.008982
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002535 0.003054 0.003697 0.004567 0.005741 0.007311 0.009642
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002450 0.002971 0.003622 0.004513 0.005729 0.007380 0.009876
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002375 0.002898 0.003558 0.004472 0.005736 0.007477 0.010160
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002296 0.002819 0.003485 0.004415 0.005717 0.007536 0.010387
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002271 0.002809 0.003500 0.004478 0.005867 0.007843 0.011009
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002223 0.002766 0.003471 0.004478 0.005927 0.008019 0.011436
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002167 0.002710 0.003421 0.004447 0.005940 0.008124 0.011754
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002097 0.002635 0.003343 0.004372 0.005885 0.008123 0.011896
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002037 0.002571 0.003278 0.004314 0.005850 0.008150 0.012086
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002001 0.002539 0.003256 0.004317 0.005907 0.008320 0.012524
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001918 0.002439 0.003138 0.004175 0.005740 0.008130 0.012335
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001889 0.002414 0.003123 0.004184 0.005802 0.008307 0.012790
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001890 0.002430 0.003166 0.004279 0.006000 0.008711 0.013675